Author Topic: "Inside" Information nearly always useless  (Read 105 times)

Unknown

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Re: Q: fundamental vs technical analysis
« Reply #15 on: August 08, 2005, 12:40:34 pm »
GB, fundamental analysis looks at earnings, growth, capitalization and so on. It uses rational techniques to compare companies in similar industries. FA is what Buffett uses.

Technical Analysis seeks to predict where a stock is going purely from its price chart. It has its fervent believers and disbelievers.

Unknown

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Re: Q: fundamental vs technical analysis
« Reply #16 on: August 08, 2005, 12:53:41 pm »
That sounds correct.  I like the overbought/oversold stochastic for aiding my entry point and the pretty charts are nice but they wont tell you that the CEO was caught in bed with a 12 year old and the stock is about to become a falling knife. OTOH the fundamental analysis cant tell you that either :)

Fortune Green

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Re: Q: fundamental vs technical analysis
« Reply #17 on: August 08, 2005, 01:16:22 pm »
Quote
Quote:
...purely from its price chart.
...and corresponding trading volumes.

Unknown

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Clearstation charts
« Reply #18 on: August 08, 2005, 01:53:07 pm »
I like these best:

clearstation.etrade.com/c...period%3dd

Nice volume, trends and stochastic and even an attempt at a green/red signal across the top, which often maps to safe times to enter a  long position.

Unknown

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Hilarious - Moo has the inside info
« Reply #19 on: August 08, 2005, 03:31:13 pm »
Earnings released, it just fell 4 bucks.  Look out below.
His record is now 3 for 3.

A whole lot of people on that message board ready to slit their wrists right now.


Unknown

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TIMBER!!! - Now its down 5 bucks, look out below
« Reply #20 on: August 08, 2005, 03:38:10 pm »
After Hours (RT-ECN): 21.84 Down 4.63 (17.49%)

Unknown

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Click Commerce Is Pounded
« Reply #21 on: August 08, 2005, 04:30:05 pm »
www.thestreet.com/_yahoo/...&cm_ite=NA
       

Tech Stocks : Software         Email This Story Print This Story

Click Commerce Is Pounded

By TSC Staff
8/8/2005 5:09 PM EDT

Shares of Click Commerce (CKCM:Nasdaq - commentary - research) tanked after hours Monday as a tripling in second-quarter earnings wasn't enough for a stock that went from $5 to almost $27 in a year.

The Chicago-based business software company earned $3.2 million, or 27 cents a share, in the quarter, up from $1.2 million a year ago. Adjusted to eliminate various charges, Click Commerce earned $4 million, or 33 cents a share, in the second quarter of 2005. That was 6 cents short of the sole analyst estimate compiled by Thomson First Call.

Revenue rose 115% from a year ago to $13.3 million, above the single-analyst estimate of $12.6 million.

Click ended the quarter with $11.8 million, down from $11.9 million at the end of the first quarter, and said accounts receivable rose by $3.6 million to $15.8 million during the quarter.

The shares lost $4.67, or 17.6%, to $21.80 in after-hours trading.

John Masterson

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Re: So BJE did you take my advice and sell earlier?
« Reply #22 on: August 08, 2005, 04:36:48 pm »
BJE,

Did you ride it down?

--- JM

Unknown

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Sold near the top - now trying to call the bottom ( g/l )
« Reply #23 on: August 08, 2005, 08:44:34 pm »
I took you and manslowhand and MY advice and bailed, 10k is now 20k  - 2 Q ago  I rode it from 21 to 8 and back to 29 before exiting at 27.5.  ( entry point was 13.00 )

My trading buddies also in this stock were euphoric and talked me into getting back in just prior to 2 Q ago  earnings that tanked.  I was furious for not having stuck to my gut. I have known one of them since 1st grade and he is very good at stock picks.

This time I could not see a stock going from 8 to 29 and not tanking post-earnings.  Jesus do any of these longs have brains or just fantasy?

Of course Mootrack prolly added an additional 5% weight in my decision which was already overwhelming - risk to go to cash vs risk to staying in was hilarious.

Now moo has 3 solid Q's of being on both sides, bearish and bullish and has been right 3 of 3.

Next time I execute an option on what he says in 1 of my 9 accounts.


Unknown

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Re: Sold near the top - now trying to call the bottom ( g/l
« Reply #24 on: August 09, 2005, 12:07:06 pm »
You keep talking about "accounts" but the context suggests that you been "positions". Could you clarify?

Unknown

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Actual accounts with single positions
« Reply #25 on: August 09, 2005, 12:27:17 pm »
I dont have multiple traunches or positions in each of the 10 or so accounts across 2 brokerages.

This many accounts is sillly but it used to increase my odds of getting IPOs.

Actually its two-fold, in the beginning WIT Capital threatened to banish your account from future IPO's if you flipped the shares.  I did not believe the tiny startup had actually implemented the business rule so I flipped away, 7 successful IPOs later they stopped giving my first account IPOs.  Setting them up and funding them was a royal pain in the arse but it kept the flow of free money coming. I paid taxes that year on 75k in IPO profit.  The next year we made a similar amount then lost an equal amount on bad advice and the tanking market ( my bad calls on regular stocks ).  I sold everything the 2nd year for a total wash.  No taxes owed.

Somewhere on that timeline they stopped giving IPO's as first come first serve, we had a program alert us to new offerings as you had less and less time to signup for free money. They went to a 'lottery' system while we and another couple were in maui.  So more accounts helped us get IPO's by increasing our odds of getting chosen. These were just my accounts, friends and family had more.


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